المساعد الشخصي الرقمي

مشاهدة النسخة كاملة : نموذج لتحليل اي شركة خلال فترة قصيرة



abu_penny
23-05-2002, Thu 2:46 PM
السلام عليكم
الاخوة الاعزاء اقدم لكم نموذج لتحليل احد الاسهم ( طريقة معينة) ، وقد اخترت احد الاسهم بطريقة عشوائية

وارجو ان اسمع رايكم بالاتي لانة مهم جدا للعمل مستقبلا :

1- هل المؤشرات المستخدمة كافية للحكم على السهم ، ارجو تحليل السهم بالطريقة التي
تستخدمونها حاليا ، هل ادت لنفس النتيجة ؟

2- هل وجدتم من الناحية العامة (العرض العام ) مناسب ؟

3- اذا اردتم تحليل اي سهم بنفس الطريقة سواء كل المعلومات او او جزء معين من المعلومات ، للتاكد من البيانات التي تملكونها ، طبعا الجزء الاول من التحليل وهو معلومات عامة عن السهم متوفرة في اي موقع
ولكن فقط وضعت كاملة هنا لسهولة الرجوع لها عند قراءة التحليل .

ارجو وضع السهم وسوف ارد عليكم خلال فترة قصيرة .

واللة الموفق

التحليل والتوصيات :


Canyon Resource . The ticker symbol for Canyon Resource is CAU. CAU is traded on the AMEX.


OPEN: CAU opened trading at $2.10 per share on 05/22/2002.
HIGH: CAU traded at a high of $2.30 per share on 05/22/2002.
LOW: CAU traded at a low of $2.02 per share on 05/22/2002.
CLOSE: CAU Closed trading at $2.05 per share on 05/22/2002.
PRC %: CAU showed a Price change of 4.1% from the prior day's closing price.
INDUSTRY: CAU has been assigned to the Mining (Misc) Group.

VOL(100)s: CAU traded 477700 shares on 05/22/2002.
AVG VOL(100)s: CAU has an Average Volume of 98800. Average Volume is 50 day moving average of daily volume .
% VOL: CAU had a Volume change of 383.4% from its 50 day moving average volume.


PRICE: CAU closed on 05/22/2002 at $2.05 per share.
VALUE: CAU has a Value of $1.24 per share. Value is the foundation of the a stock is currently worth. Value is based upon earnings, earnings growth rate, dividend payments, dividend growth rate, and financial performance. Current interest and inflation rates also play an important role in the computation of Value. When interest and/or inflation rates decrease, Value goes up. When interest rates and inflation increase, Value goes down. Sooner or later a stock's Price and Value always converge.
RV (Relative Value): CAU has an RV of 0.61. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an RV of 0.61 is poor. RV reflects the long-term price appreciation potential of the stock compared to an alternative investment in AAA Corporate Bonds. Stocks with RV ratings above 1.00 have attractive upside potential. A stock will have an RV greater than 1.00 when its Value is greater than Price, and its Relative Safety (see below) and forecasted earnings growth rate are above average. In some cases, however, a stock's RV will be above 1.00 even though its Value is well below Price. This happens when a stock has an exemplary record of financial performance and an above average earnings growth rate. In this case, the stock is currently selling at a premium, and the investor is banking on future earnings growth to drive the stock's price higher. This information is very useful not only in knowing whether or not a stock has favorable price appreciation potential, but it also solves the riddle of whether to buy high growth, high P/E, or low growth, low P/E stocks. RV ratings above 1.00 are required to consistently achieve above average capital gains in the stock market.
RS (Relative Safety): CAU has an RS rating of 0.65. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an RS of 0.65 is poor. the safety from the viewpoint of an equity investor (one who is buying stock of a company) rather than that of a purchaser of debt (one who is lending money to the company). From this perspective, consistency of financial and operating performance, stock price appreciation history, and price volatility are the key factors used in the evaluation of Relative Safety (RS). Debt to equity ratio, capitalization, sales volume, business longevity and other factors are also considered, but to a lesser degree.
. All stocks are rated on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. A stock with an RS greater than 1.00 is safer and more predictable than the average of all stocks. A stock with an RS less than 1.00 is less predictable and riskier than the average stock.
RT (Relative Timing): CAU has an RT rating of 1.85. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an RT of 1.85 is excellent. RT is a fast, responsive, short-term price trend indicator. It analyzes the direction, magnitude, and dynamics of a stock's price behavior over the last 13 weeks; then reflects and projects the short-term price performance of the stock. Once a stock's Price has established a strong trend, it is expected to continue that trend for the short-term. If the trend dissipates, RT will gravitate towards 1.00. Should the price change dramatically, RT will notice the crucial turning point. When warranted, it will explode from a Price low and dive from a Price high.
All stocks are rated on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. If RT is above 1.00,the stock's Price is in an uptrend. Below 1.00, the stock's Price is in a downtrend.
GRT (Growth Rate): CAU has a GRT of -8 % per year. This is very poor. GRT stands for forecasted Earnings Growth Rate in percent per year. Watch GRT trends very carefully. If the GRT trend is up, the stock's Price will likely rise. If the GRT trend is down, the stock's Price will increase more slowly, cease to increase, or subsequently fall. Recommendation (REC): CAU has a Buy recommendation. REC reflects the cumulative effect of all the parameters working together. These parameters are to help investors buy safe, undervalued stocks which are rising in price, and to avoid or sell risky, overvalued stocks which are falling in price.
STOP-PRICE: CAU has a Stop-Price of 1.66 per share. This is 0.39 or 19.0 % below its current closing Price. . This Stop-Prices are based upon 13 week moving averages of closing prices, and are fine-tuned according to the stock's fundamentals.
DIV (Dividend): CAU does not pay a dividend.
DY (Dividend Yield): CAU has a DY of 0 percent. This is below the current market average of 1.1 %. DY equals 100 x (DIV/PRICE), and is expressed as a percentage.
EY (Earnings Yield): CAU has an EY of -15.51%. This is below the current market average of 3.83%. EY equals 100 x (EARNINGS PER SHARE/PRICE), and is expressed as a percentage.
EPS (Earnings Per Share): CAU has an EPS of $-0.32 per share. EPS stands for leading 12 months Earnings Per Share.
. P/E (Price to Earnings Ratio): CAU has a P/E ratio of -6.41.
. GPE (Growth to P/E Ratio): CAU has a GPE of -1.24. This ratio suggests that CAU is overvalued. Growth to P/E ratio is a popular measure of stock valuation which compares Earnings Growth Rate (GRT) to Price Earnings ratio (P/E). A stock is considered to be undervalued when GPE is greater than 1.00, and vice-versa. RV is a much better indicator of long-term value. The RV of 0.61 for CAU is poor.
DS (Dividend Safety): CAU has a DS of 0. On a scale of 0 to 99, a DS of 0 is poor. DS is defined as the assurance that regular cash dividends will be declared and paid at current or at higher rates for the foreseeable future. Stocks with DS values above 50 on a scale of 0 to 99 are above average in safety.
RISK (Dividend Risk): CAU does not pay a dividend. All stocks that pay dividends are classified as having Low, Medium or High Dividend Risk (RISK). Stocks with DS values above 50 are above average in safety. These stocks are classified as having LOW or MEDIUM RISK. Stocks with DS values below 50 are below average in safety and are classified as having HIGH Risk.
DG (Dividend Growth): CAU has a DG of 0 percent per year. Dividend Growth is a subtle yet important indicator of a company's historical financial performance and the board's current outlook on the future use of funds.

YSG- (Yield-Safety-Growth ): CAU has a YSG- of 0. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, a YSG- rating of 0 is very poor. Dividend YIELD, SAFETY and GROWTH have combined into a single parameter. YSG- allows direct comparison of all dividend paying stocks. Stocks with the highest YSG- values have the best combinations of Dividend Yield, Safety and Growth. These are the stocks to buy for above average current income and long-term growth

سيف الخيال
23-05-2002, Thu 7:36 PM
اخي العزيز ابو بني

اخي سوف اضع سهم ، وهو في القطاع الصحي ، السهم ( AMMD ) .

أمل ابداء الراي في هذا السهم .

واشكرك على هذا الموضوع المهم جدا .

abu_penny
24-05-2002, Fri 2:12 PM
الاخ الحازمي هذا تحليل شامل للشركة مع التوصيات ، ارجو مراجعته بتمعن ،
واعطائي فكرة عن رايك ، واذا كنت انت قمت بعملية تحليل لهذة الشركة
فهل يتفق هذا التحليل مع تحليلك انت ، واين هي اماكن الاتفاق والاختلاف .
انا اقول لك هذا ، حتى نتبادل المشورة ، لان هذا التحليل الذى اقدمه لك هو ناتج
عن برنامج جاهز ،ويقوم باعطاء هذة المعلومات خلال خمس ثواني فقط .
فاذا كانت مفيدة يمكن ان نعتمد على البرنامج بالاضافة لعوامل اخرى طبعا .
وانا بانتظار ردك ،

كما ارجو ان يشاركنا بقية الاخوة الكرام المهتمين بامور التحليل باراؤهم القيمة .




التحليل والتوصيات :

PRICE: AMMD closed on 05/23/2002 at $21.48 per share.
VALUE: AMMD has a Value of $16.19 per share. It is a measure of what a stock is currently worth. Value is based upon earnings, earnings growth rate, dividend payments, dividend growth rate, and financial performance. Current interest and inflation rates also play an important role in the computation of Value. When interest and/or inflation rates decrease, Value goes up. When interest rates and inflation increase, Value goes down. Sooner or later a stock's Price and Value always converge.

RV (Relative Value): AMMD has an RV of 1.26. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an RV of 1.26 is very good. RV reflects the long-term price appreciation potential of the stock compared to an alternative investment in AAA Corporate Bonds. Stocks with RV ratings above 1.00 have attractive upside potential. A stock will have an RV greater than 1.00 when its Value is greater than Price, and its Relative Safety (see below) and forecasted earnings growth rate are above average. In some cases, however, a stock's RV will be above 1.00 even though its Value is well below Price. This happens when a stock has an exemplary record of financial performance and an above average earnings growth rate. In this case, the stock is currently selling at a premium, and the investor is banking on future earnings growth to drive the stock's price higher. This information is very useful not only in knowing whether or not a stock has favorable price appreciation potential, but it also solves the riddle of whether to buy high growth, high P/E, or low growth, low P/E stocks. We believe that RV ratings above 1.00 are required to consistently achieve above average capital gains in the stock market.

RS (Relative Safety): AMMD has an RS rating of 0.88. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an RS of 0.88 is poor. it looks at safety from the viewpoint of an equity investor (one who is buying stock of a company) rather than that of a purchaser of debt (one who is lending money to the company). From this perspective, consistency of financial and operating performance, stock price appreciation history, and price volatility are the key factors used in the evaluation of Relative Safety (RS). Debt to equity ratio, capitalization, sales volume, business longevity and other factors are also considered, but to a lesser degree.
All stocks are rated on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. A stock with an RS greater than 1.00 is safer and more predictable than the average of all stocks. A stock with an RS less than 1.00 is less predictable and riskier than the average stock.

RT (Relative Timing): AMMD has an RT rating of 1. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an RT of 1 is fair. RT is a fast, responsive, short-term price trend indicator. It analyzes the direction, magnitude, and dynamics of a stock's price behavior over the last 13 weeks; then reflects and projects the short-term price performance of the stock. Once a stock's Price has established a strong trend, it is expected to continue that trend for the short-term. If the trend dissipates, RT will gravitate towards 1.00. Should the price change dramatically, RT will notice the crucial turning point. When warranted, it will explode from a Price low and dive from a Price high.
All stocks are rated on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. If RT is above 1.00,the stock's Price is in an uptrend. Below 1.00, the stock's Price is in a downtrend.

VST- (VST): AMMD has a VST- rating of 1.04. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an VST of 1.04 is fair. VST- solves the dilemma of balancing Value, Safety and Timing. Stocks with high RV values often have low RS values, or stocks with low RV and RS values have high RT's. How can we find the stocks with the best combinations of Value, Safety, and Timing?

GRT (Growth Rate): AMMD has a GRT of 34 % per year. This is excellent. GRT stands for forecasted Earnings Growth Rate in percent per year. Watch GRT trends very carefully. If the GRT trend is up, the stock's Price will likely rise. If the GRT trend is down, the stock's Price will increase more slowly, cease to increase, or subsequently fall.

Recommendation (REC): AMMD has a Hold recommendation. REC reflects the cumulative effect of all parameters working together. These parameters are designed to help investors buy safe, undervalued stocks which are rising in price, and to avoid or sell risky, overvalued stocks which are falling in price.

STOP-PRICE: AMMD has a Stop-Price of 20.70 per share. This is 0.78 or 3.6 % below its current closing Price.

DIV (Dividend): AMMD does not pay a dividend. VectorVest focuses on annual, regular, cash dividends indicated by the most recent disbursement. Special distributions, one-time payments, stock dividends, etc., generally are not included in Dividend (DIV).

DY (Dividend Yield): AMMD has a DY of 0 percent. This is below the current market average of 1.1 %. DY equals 100 x (DIV/PRICE), and is expressed as a percentage.

EY (Earnings Yield): AMMD has an EY of 2.96%. This is below the current market average of 3.83%. EY equals 100 x (EARNINGS PER SHARE/PRICE), and is expressed as a percentage.

EPS (Earnings Per Share): AMMD has an EPS of $0.64 per share. EPS stands for leading 12 months Earnings Per Share. it determines this forecast from a combination of recent earnings performance and traditional fiscal and/or calendar year earnings forecasts.

P/E (Price to Earnings Ratio): AMMD has a P/E ratio of 33.56. This ratio is computed daily based upon Price and EPS. P/E = Price/EPS.

GPE (Growth to P/E Ratio): AMMD has a GPE of 1.01. This ratio suggests that AMMD is undervalued. Growth to P/E ratio is a popular measure of stock valuation which compares Earnings Growth Rate (GRT) to Price Earnings ratio (P/E). A stock is considered to be undervalued when GPE is greater than 1.00, and vice-versa. that RV is a much better indicator of long-term value. The RV of 1.26 for AMMD is very good.

DS (Dividend Safety): AMMD has a DS of 0. On a scale of 0 to 99, a DS of 0 is poor. DS is defined as the assurance that regular cash dividends will be declared and paid at current or at higher rates for the foreseeable future. Stocks with DS values above 50 on a scale of 0 to 99 are above average in safety.

RISK (Dividend Risk): AMMD does not pay a dividend. All stocks that pay dividends are classified as having Low, Medium or High Dividend Risk (RISK). Stocks with DS values above 50 are above average in safety. These stocks are classified as having LOW or MEDIUM RISK. Stocks with DS values below 50 are below average in safety and are classified as having HIGH Risk.

DG (Dividend Growth): AMMD has a DG of 0 percent per year. Dividend Growth is a subtle yet important indicator of a company's historical financial performance and the board's current outlook on the future use of funds.

YSG- (Yield-Safety-Growth ): AMMD has a YSG- of 0. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, a YSG- rating of 0 is very poor. it combines Dividend YIELD, SAFETY and GROWTH into a single parameter. YSG- allows direct comparison of all dividend paying stocks. Stocks with the highest YSG- values have the best combinations of Dividend Yield, Safety and Growth. These are the stocks to buy for above average current income and long-term growth.

VOL(100)s: AMMD traded 417700 shares on 05/23/2002.

AVG VOL(100)s: AMMD has an Average Volume of 265300. Average Volume is 50 day moving average of daily volume as computed by VectorVest.

% VOL: AMMD had a Volume change of 57.4% from its 50 day moving average volume.

OPEN: AMMD opened trading at $20.50 per share on 05/23/2002.

HIGH: AMMD traded at a high of $21.48 per share on 05/23/2002.

LOW: AMMD traded at a low of $20.20 per share on 05/23/2002.

CLOSE: AMMD Closed trading at $21.48 per share on 05/23/2002.

% PRC: AMMD showed a Price change of 3.8% from the prior day's closing price.

INDUSTRY: AMMD has been assigned to the Healthcare (Instruments Group )



كما ارجو ان يشاركنا بقية الاخوة الكرام المهتمين بامور التحليل باراؤهم القيمة