sunbulmb
06-07-2010, Tue 10:25 PM
نحن حاليا في تراجع مزدوج
اذا نظرتم الى ما يحدث في الاقتصاد الحقيقي للولايات المتحدة مقابل القطاع العام ، فالصورة قاتمة جدا ، وفقا لكريس الن ، المدير التنفيذي لتحليلات المخاطر المؤسسية.
وقال الن لسي ان بي سي الثلاثاء. "الاقتصاد الحقيقي في حالة انكماش ، وليس هناك تسليف سواء من البنوك أو من الباعة ،" واضاف "نحن نرى ما هو طبيعي في الوقت الراهن" .
"ليس لدينا أي حافز ، فنحن ليس لدينا أي اعتمادات ضريبية على مشتريات المنازل ، وليس لدينا أي من الحوافز التي ساعدت في مبيعات السيارات في وقت سابق."
أوصى الن ، الذي يعتقد أن الولايات المتحدة في مناطق تراجع مزدوج ، بترك أسعار الفائدة ترتفع.
كامل الموضوع:
We're in a Double Dip Right Now: Whalen
If you look at what’s going on in the real US economy versus the public sector, the picture is pretty grim, according to Chris Whalen, managing director of Institutional Risk Analytics.
“The real economy is contracting, and there’s no credit either from banks or from vendors,” Whalen told CNBC Tuesday.
“We’re seeing what normal is right now,” he added.
“We don’t have any stimulus, we don’t have any tax credits for home purchases, we don’t have any of the push that helped auto sales earlier.”
Whalen, who believes the US is in double-dip territory, recommended letting interest rates go up.
“Otherwise all the savers in the economy, whether they’re pension funds or individuals, are going to starve to death, and you’re also getting into a weird situation where you’re telling people money has no value,” he explained.
Financial Regulation
Whalen said the financial regulatory reform bill, which is headed to the Senate later this month, will be an additional negative for the economy.
The increased capital requirements in the bill will “stifle credit expansion,” he warned. But he does see one bright spot in the legislation: resolution authority, which would give the government the power to wind down companies that pose a threat to the country’s financial system.
“We have to get to the point where we allow failure,” he explained. “If you want to look like Europe, where the are almost no private banks, then we keep doing what we’re doing. If we want to restore discipline to our marketplace, we deal with fiscal issues in Washington and we get rid of ‘too big to fail (http://www.cnbc.com/id/38102194/).’”
© 2010 CNBC.com
تعريف "تراجع مزدوج" "double dip" من wikipedia
Recession shapes are used by economists to describe different types of recessions (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Recession). There is no specific academic theory or classification system for recession shapes; rather the terminology is used as an informal shorthand to characterize recessions and their recoveries.[1] (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Double-dip_recession#cite_note-TBM-0)
The most commonly used terms are V-shaped, U-shaped, W-shaped, and L-shaped recessions. The shapes take their names from the approximate shape economic data make in graphs during recessions. The letters can also be applied referring to the recoveries (ie "V-shaped recovery").
http://www4.0zz0.com/2010/07/06/18/657680376.jpg (http://www.0zz0.com)
اذا نظرتم الى ما يحدث في الاقتصاد الحقيقي للولايات المتحدة مقابل القطاع العام ، فالصورة قاتمة جدا ، وفقا لكريس الن ، المدير التنفيذي لتحليلات المخاطر المؤسسية.
وقال الن لسي ان بي سي الثلاثاء. "الاقتصاد الحقيقي في حالة انكماش ، وليس هناك تسليف سواء من البنوك أو من الباعة ،" واضاف "نحن نرى ما هو طبيعي في الوقت الراهن" .
"ليس لدينا أي حافز ، فنحن ليس لدينا أي اعتمادات ضريبية على مشتريات المنازل ، وليس لدينا أي من الحوافز التي ساعدت في مبيعات السيارات في وقت سابق."
أوصى الن ، الذي يعتقد أن الولايات المتحدة في مناطق تراجع مزدوج ، بترك أسعار الفائدة ترتفع.
كامل الموضوع:
We're in a Double Dip Right Now: Whalen
If you look at what’s going on in the real US economy versus the public sector, the picture is pretty grim, according to Chris Whalen, managing director of Institutional Risk Analytics.
“The real economy is contracting, and there’s no credit either from banks or from vendors,” Whalen told CNBC Tuesday.
“We’re seeing what normal is right now,” he added.
“We don’t have any stimulus, we don’t have any tax credits for home purchases, we don’t have any of the push that helped auto sales earlier.”
Whalen, who believes the US is in double-dip territory, recommended letting interest rates go up.
“Otherwise all the savers in the economy, whether they’re pension funds or individuals, are going to starve to death, and you’re also getting into a weird situation where you’re telling people money has no value,” he explained.
Financial Regulation
Whalen said the financial regulatory reform bill, which is headed to the Senate later this month, will be an additional negative for the economy.
The increased capital requirements in the bill will “stifle credit expansion,” he warned. But he does see one bright spot in the legislation: resolution authority, which would give the government the power to wind down companies that pose a threat to the country’s financial system.
“We have to get to the point where we allow failure,” he explained. “If you want to look like Europe, where the are almost no private banks, then we keep doing what we’re doing. If we want to restore discipline to our marketplace, we deal with fiscal issues in Washington and we get rid of ‘too big to fail (http://www.cnbc.com/id/38102194/).’”
© 2010 CNBC.com
تعريف "تراجع مزدوج" "double dip" من wikipedia
Recession shapes are used by economists to describe different types of recessions (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Recession). There is no specific academic theory or classification system for recession shapes; rather the terminology is used as an informal shorthand to characterize recessions and their recoveries.[1] (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Double-dip_recession#cite_note-TBM-0)
The most commonly used terms are V-shaped, U-shaped, W-shaped, and L-shaped recessions. The shapes take their names from the approximate shape economic data make in graphs during recessions. The letters can also be applied referring to the recoveries (ie "V-shaped recovery").
http://www4.0zz0.com/2010/07/06/18/657680376.jpg (http://www.0zz0.com)