المساعد الشخصي الرقمي

مشاهدة النسخة كاملة : أول أرتفاع متواصل لستاندر اند بور من عام 1933م (18%)



cnnfn
27-11-2008, Thu 3:45 AM
أول أرتفاع متواصل للاسهم الأمريكية وخصوصا ستادر اند بور .
من 20 نوفمبر وحتى اليوم (4 أيام تداول) أرتفع ستاندر اند بور بنسبة 18% وهي أكبر نسبة مند عام 1933م

البترول أرتفع أكثر من 7% اليوم.جنرال موتور أرتفعت 35% قبل الموافقة على القرض الحكومي .
تعينات اوباما الأخيرة وعلى حسب رأي أكثر المحللين لها دور كبير في الأرتفاع المتواصل على الرغم من الأخبار السلبية وخصوصا اليوم.
في موضوع اخر أحد المحللين يقول تفاعل الأسواق بأيجابية مع الأخبار السلبية هي من علامات تحديد القاع وهذا ما حصل اليوم.ستاندر اند بورأنخفض الى1.9% و أنهى التداول على أرتفاع 3.5%.
ومن ناحية أخرى نسبة تقسيط العقار (30 سنة) نزلت في خلال يوم واحد من 6.38% الى 5.5%
و هذه الأيجابية بسبب خطة ال800 مليار دولار التي أعلن عنها أمس.
U.S. Stocks Gain, S&P 500 Surges Most in Four Days
Since 1933


By Elizabeth Stanton
Nov. 26 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks gained, driving the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to the steepest four-day surge since 1933, as a rally in oil prices lifted energy shares and investors speculated President-elect Barack Obama’s economic team will bolster growth.
Exxon Mobil Corp. and Chevron Corp., the biggest U.S. oil companies, were among the largest contributors to the advance as crude jumped 7.2 percent to trade above $50 a barrel for a third day. General Motors Corp., which will make its case for federal bailout funds after tomorrow’s Thanksgiving holiday, rallied 35 percent. The market overcame an early tumble spurred by government reports depicting a deepening recession.
The S&P 500 climbed 3.5 percent to 887.68 after falling as much as 1.9 percent. The index has now surged 18 percent since dropping to an 11-year low on Nov. 20. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 247.14 points, or 2.9 percent, to 8,726.61.
“The market has very bad economic data coming out, but layered onto that is renewed optimism from the Obama nominations that are being rolled out daily,” said Robert Lutts, president of Cabot Money Management in Boston, which oversees about $400 million. “Eternal hope is being poured into that vessel, that this team is going to rescue us.”
Benchmark indexes erased earlier declines after Obama picked former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker to head an economic advisory board and said he will implement a plan to bolster growth on “day one.” This week, Obama also named Fed Bank of New York chief Tim Geithner as Treasury secretary and former Harvard University President Lawrence Summers as White House economic director.
$800 Billion
The S&P 500 gained yesterday after the deepening recession prompting the Fed to commit as much as $800 billion to help resuscitate lending markets. The index has still tumbled 43 percent from its October 2007 record as credit-related losses and writedowns at global financial companies approached $1 trillion, threatening global economic growth.
GM, the nation’s largest automaker, jumped $1.25 to $4.81. Ford Motor Co., the second-biggest, rallied 30 percent to $2.15
Mortgage Rates Fall
The average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage fell to about 5.5 percent last night after starting the day at 6.38 percent, according to an estimate from Bankrate Inc.
Earlier declines in the stock market came after government reports showed orders for durable goods shrank 6.2 percent, twice as much as the median economist forecast, and consumer spending declined the most since 2001.
“There’s still a lot of stress and strain in the economy and the market as a whole that hasn’t been alleviated yet by the steps taken by the Fed and the Treasury,” said Michael Mullaney, a Boston-based money manager at Fiduciary Trust Co., which oversees $10 billion. “It’s going to take the fiscal stimulus coming from Obama in 2009 to hopefully get liftoff in the real economy. I don’t think we have any significant catalyst between now and then to really jumpstart the entire stock market.”

شايب الاسهم
27-11-2008, Thu 2:35 PM
بارك الله فيك

سوقك متى ماراد صانع السوق له الارتفاع سيرتفع

grawsha
27-11-2008, Thu 5:17 PM
وهذة علامة سيئة جدا..
لانه بعد ذلك حقق قيعان جديدة ووصل لادنى مستوى في قمة الكساد الكبير عام 1937

تقارير اقتصادية ظهرت يوم امس الاربعاء كانت سلبية..أضف الى ذلك مبيعات متاجر التجزئة لهذة العام ستكون سيئة..

صـياد الأسهم
27-11-2008, Thu 9:47 PM
اللي كاش راح يرى ان هذا الأرتداد سيء ومصيبه
اللي داخل السوق راح يرى هذا الأرتداد بشكل ايجابي

كل انسان يشاهد المؤشرات حسب وضع محفظته

Abo Sara
27-11-2008, Thu 10:03 PM
اوباما يحاول الظهور في وقت التقارير السيئه ويرقع بس على مين.

cnnfn
28-11-2008, Fri 1:36 AM
وهذة علامة سيئة جدا..
لانه بعد ذلك حقق قيعان جديدة ووصل لادنى مستوى في قمة الكساد الكبير عام 1937

تقارير اقتصادية ظهرت يوم امس الاربعاء كانت سلبية..أضف الى ذلك مبيعات متاجر التجزئة لهذة العام ستكون سيئة..

أخي الحبيب في البداية كما تعرف هذه الازمة هي الأسوأ مند 1930 م و بالطبع من الصعب معرفة أتجاهها ولكن كما قال الدكتور جيرمي سيجل قبل كم شهر ,لا يجب مقارنتها بعام 1930 لعدة أسباب أهمها المبالغ التي ضخت في الأسواق وهذه لم تكن موجودة في السابق وكان موجود في نفس المقابلة مدير بنك نيويورك ميلون وذكر نقطة مهمه غير الأموال وهي تفاعل البنك الأحتياطي مع الأزمة(we are not in the 1930 s because we have a proactive fed
مع العلم هذه المعلومات قديمة ..أي قبل ضخ أموال في سيتي بانك وقبل خطة ال800 مليار دولار و أيضا قبل كثير من التفاعل من وزارة الخزانة والبنك الفيدرالي.
أكثر المحللين متفقين على أن أنهيار ليمن براذرز من أسباب بداية أزمة توقف البنوك عن الأقراض و بالتالي أنعدام الثقة ولهذا السبب ضخ الفيدرالي مبالغ خيالية.
مؤشر الذبذبة Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index كان على نزول أو نقدر نقول أستقرار.. أنا لازلت أرجح أرتداد أقرب الى الV من الU:)حلوة لا في ولا يو .بالطبع المتوقع الان هو أسوأ موسم مبيعات في ديسمبر و هو الموسم الأهم في السنةوكنت قرأت موضوع في موقع اخريتوقع أقفال الكثير من الأسواق ( المولات)فورا .
الموضوع التالي مهم ويشرح نقاط مهمة

Stocks Giving More Signs Of Nearing Market Bottom
STOCK MARKET NEWS, INVESTING, RALLY, BEAR MARKET, SANTA CLAUS RALLY, ETFS
Reuters | 27 Nov 2008 | 12:42 PM ET
You never know when a market hits bottom until well after the fact, but there have been a series of hints over the past few weeks that stock market investors may be flirting with one.
لن تعرف متى وصل السوق الى القاع الأ بعد فترة ( بعد ما تطير الطيور بأرزاقها :) . For one thing, volatility is easing.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, or VIX, is down about 8 percent for the month and around 38 percent below its 2008 peak hit last month.




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The custodian bank, which compiles its index from the buying and selling patterns of its clients, said institutional investors were not reacting as strongly to deteriorating economic fundamentals as they had been."This month's readings provide a measure of relief," index co-developer Ken Froot said.
تفاعل مستثمري المؤسسات أخف حدة مع الأساسيات الأقتصادية المتدهورة. Also gloomy, but with the odd shaft of light, was Merrill Lynch's monthly poll of some 180 fund managers across the world, released on Nov. 19.

Although the poll showed investors currently believe the global economy is in recession and it is not going to come out of it for some time, there were signs of asset allocation shifts reflecting stronger risk appetite.


Overall, Merrill's risk and liquidity indicator, drawn from the poll's findings, improved slightly.

All this may be small beer, but it fits with an increasing number of investors who are arguing that, after falls of more than 50 percent on many stock markets over the past 18 months, there are bargains out there.


"For equities, our technical indicator showed signs of an oversold situation, whilst the investment sentiment model had moved to double plus," said fund manager Matthias Scheiber.

"We were waiting for panic and that's what we saw in September and October," he said, referring to sharp equity market losses in those months.
يقول مدير صندوق أستثماري كنا نراقب حالة البيع الجماعي ( الذعر ) و رأيناها في سبتمبر و أكتوبر


Templeton Asset Management's emerging markets funds are betting on a market recovery early next year, with MSCI's benchmark emerging market equity index (.MSCIEF) having lost almost 60 percent this year.
مدراء صناديق للأسواق الناشئة متوقعين الأرتداد في بداية السنة القادمة
"Emerging markets have gone very far down and are now back to levels we saw in 2003.

We think all these (government stimulus) programmes will start to have an impact in the early part of next year and then we will see a rebound," said emerging markets guru and Templeton executive chairman Mark Mobius.



The bear market that began last year has already had a number of bounces, including a more than 20 percent rise between the end of October and beginning of November for the MSCI all-country world stock index.

There is also little in the way of succour to be had from macroeconomic news, although large stimulus packages and a wave of rates cuts by central banks across the world are doubtless building some confidence.

As analysts point out, bottoming out after steep market falls is a process rather than a specific event.

Although in retrospect a bottom price can be identified, it tends not to be spotted at the time. From a process standpoint, the bottom of the last bear market, in 2002-3, came over a roughly five-month period.Copyright 2008 Reuters.

و لله الحمد على كل شئ

cnnfn
28-11-2008, Fri 4:00 AM
على هذا الرابط مقابلة ساخنة بين المتشائمين (بيتر شيف) والمتفائلين (جيرمي سيجل).

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4-sbp0y8c-s

cnnfn
29-11-2008, Sat 5:05 AM
أغلاق جيد للداو وستاندر اند بور 500 لليوم الخامس مع أن فترة تداول اليوم قصيرة.

Dow, S&P 500 in 5-day win streak
Major indexes advance at the end of a thinly traded, post-holiday session.
By Ben Rooney, CNNMoney.com staff writer
Last Updated: November 28, 2008: 2:21 PM ET
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Stocks rallied in a shortened holiday session Friday, with the Dow and the S&P 500 ending higher for the fifth session in a row, capping one of Wall Street's best weeks in months.


نفضل التفائل ولكن صناع السوق عندنا الأسواق العالمية بالنسبة لهم حجة لتنزيل السوق ولذلك المفروض من الغد نرى أرتفاعات لعدة أيام.